Ukraine

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Interactive operating picture

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Measured context

Air warnings: duration and trends

Warning exposure

Weekly warning hours

11–17 October 2026 · selected areas

Kyiv City

49.4 h

Lviv

5.9 h

Odesa

74.7 h

Dnipropetrovsk

168 h

Kharkiv

168 h

Sumy

129.9 h

Chernihiv

156.4 h

Poltava

105.3 h

How to read this chart

Observation cutoff: 2026-10-18T00:00:00+03:00. 168 of 168 hours observed. Kyiv City is measured separately from Kyiv Oblast. Each oblast total counts time when some part of the region was under warning, with overlapping warnings counted once. Includes red alerts and yellow preliminary warnings. Warning hours do not measure workplace closure or staff fatigue.

Source: alerts.in.ua direct API · recorded red and yellow air-threat warnings

Kyiv City

Two weeks of warnings

Complete weeks · Kyiv local time

4–10 October 202653.5 h

51 warning records · 168-hour week

11–17 October 202649.4 h

47 warning records · 168-hour week

About these measurements

Recorded warning time, not confirmed strikes, shelter occupancy or actual work lost. The history is not a reconstruction of exact siren operation or level-change timings.

Computed from provider UTC timestamps at their supplied precision; display values are rounded. Provider reporting delays remain possible.

Source: alerts.in.ua direct API · recorded red and yellow air-threat warnings

FULCRUM · Kyiv

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Operational Risk

FULCRUM

Reference risk profile · Kyiv City

Assessed 18 October 2026

Highest assessed risk per category · 1–25

47 risks assessed · 10 categories

Minimal1Low>1–6Moderate>6–12High>12–20Extreme>20–25

FULCRUM method · v1.2

How the score works.

Illustrative example · not a location assessment

Likelihood

3/5

Judged likelihood on a 1–5 scale.

Impact

4/5

Consequences for this operation.

Risk

12/25

Moderate

The highest risk sets the category.

Each of the ten radar points shows its highest assessed risk. A serious problem is never averaged away.

Minimal1Low>1–6Moderate>6–12High>12–20Extreme>20–25

47Assessed

10Categories

1Outside scope

Demining accidents are excluded: this office-based example does not involve demining work.

Every risk in the reference register has been considered. Scores reflect the stated office-based operating profile.

About this assessment

The public profile assumes this organisation:

A resident international organisation with a fixed office, national and international staff, routine road movement within Kyiv City, no armed protection, standard commercial insurance and no dedicated security function.

A client assessment considers your actual locations, activities and safeguards.

All 47 likelihood scores in this profile are analyst-judged; no calibrated measured-likelihood conversion has been applied. Under this reference posture, the method calls the result Pressure.

Components use half-point judgements. Risk products keep their exact value; the ten categories are never averaged into one overall score. This is not a client-specific residual assessment, trend or forecast.

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Latest report summary

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Reporting period: 9–15 October 2026.